Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.739676 0.829791 0.927773 1.042414 1.173111 1.317753 1.490336
2025-02-09 0.601750 0.724606 0.869136 1.052548 1.280282 1.555268 1.914739
2025-02-16 0.523286 0.660009 0.829421 1.056412 1.355058 1.737976 2.271590
2025-02-23 0.473160 0.619769 0.809328 1.075007 1.441925 1.936910 2.665585
2025-03-02 0.418921 0.566006 0.762970 1.049556 1.461787 2.042364 2.938139
2025-03-09 0.390021 0.542245 0.752818 1.070097 1.544279 2.239931 3.362637
2025-03-16 0.356750 0.508439 0.724283 1.059609 1.577974 2.366558 3.691668
2025-03-23 0.333955 0.487164 0.711050 1.069114 1.640757 2.541276 4.114867
2025-03-30 0.308026 0.458695 0.684135 1.054149 1.662226 2.650852 4.441145
2025-04-06 0.287388 0.436368 0.664321 1.047803 1.695720 2.781617 4.817299
2025-04-13 0.260465 0.402063 0.622879 1.002262 1.658680 2.788061 4.969908
2025-04-20 0.248573 0.390642 0.616825 1.014486 1.720762 2.971672 5.470567
2025-04-27 0.238169 0.381110 0.613491 1.031723 1.794632 3.186674 6.065463
2025-05-04 0.226706 0.368977 0.604873 1.038948 1.851136 3.375946 6.636362
2025-05-11 0.215768 0.356844 0.595160 1.043019 1.901578 3.558161 7.216521
2025-05-18 0.208100 0.349717 0.593458 1.061325 1.980525 3.804162 7.966762
2025-05-25 0.194352 0.330960 0.569743 1.036238 1.971708 3.871458 8.330486
2025-06-01 0.188419 0.325682 0.569843 1.056488 2.055437 4.139129 9.189906
2025-06-08 0.178645 0.312774 0.554979 1.046148 2.075047 4.271906 9.749640
2025-06-15 0.172251 0.305631 0.550296 1.055518 2.136661 4.502685 10.582045
2025-06-22 0.163250 0.293042 0.534406 1.040766 2.144817 4.614088 11.130028
2025-06-29 0.155931 0.283181 0.523095 1.034510 2.170905 4.769300 11.815207
2025-07-06 0.144626 0.265026 0.494452 0.989612 2.106243 4.703954 11.900385